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LLM · Google

Gemini 3.8 Flash

Ranks 2 of 7 on noul, 2 of 7 on choice, =5 of 7 on score. Verbalized probabilities through the Jevals adapter, reasoning low, via OpenRouter · Google AI Studio.

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noul

73.0Decision Score
Rank =1 of 8

Accuracy
92.5%
Calibration gap
2.0
Hand-off at 95%
79%
$ per 1k
$0.8
Speed p95
5.5 s
10said 55%, right 50% (2 answers)said 63%, right 100% (3 answers)said 73%, right 57% (7 answers)said 85%, right 78% (306 answers)said 96%, right 97% (1182 answers)Said vs right. Squares on the diagonal mean honest confidence; bigger squares hold more answers.
choice

74.1Decision Score
Rank 1 of 8

Accuracy
84.6%
Calibration gap
3.2
Hand-off at 95%
45%
$ per 1k
$1.4
Speed p95
3.9 s
10said 35%, right 17% (6 answers)said 45%, right 47% (19 answers)said 55%, right 62% (66 answers)said 65%, right 63% (68 answers)said 74%, right 73% (82 answers)said 86%, right 80% (588 answers)said 95%, right 96% (671 answers)Said vs right. Squares on the diagonal mean honest confidence; bigger squares hold more answers.
score

4.6Decision Score
Rank =1 of 8

Accuracy
42.4%
Calibration gap
22.6
Hand-off at 95%
—
$ per 1k
$1.3
Speed p95
4.0 s
10said 44%, right 33% (106 answers)said 53%, right 24% (579 answers)said 64%, right 39% (269 answers)said 71%, right 60% (153 answers)said 84%, right 70% (252 answers)said 93%, right 63% (141 answers)Said vs right. Squares on the diagonal mean honest confidence; bigger squares hold more answers.

Details

noul
Accuracy92.5%95% range 89.3–95.3%
Calibration gap2.0 ptslower is better · 0.8% of answers at confidence 1.00
10said 55%, right 50% (2 answers)said 63%, right 100% (3 answers)said 73%, right 57% (7 answers)said 85%, right 78% (306 answers)said 96%, right 97% (1182 answers)
Automation at 95%79%of decisions, acting at confidence ≥ 0.86 (right 96.6%)shared gate ≥ 0.91: acts on 73%, right 97.1%
Speed1.9 smedian · p95 5.5 s
Stability1.7%of answers change on an identical rerun
Valid output100.0%0.0% refused · 1,500 of 1,500 answered
Setupjevals-llm 0383a0e3e592 · verbalized probabilities via OpenRouter · Google AI Studio · reasoning low (mandatory) · temperature provider default · 300 items × 5 runs · 2026-09-18 · served as google/gemini-3.8-flashpubmedqa run log
choice
Accuracy84.6%95% range 80.8–88.2%
Calibration gap3.2 ptslower is better · 0.0% of answers at confidence 1.00
10said 35%, right 17% (6 answers)said 45%, right 47% (19 answers)said 55%, right 62% (66 answers)said 65%, right 63% (68 answers)said 74%, right 73% (82 answers)said 86%, right 80% (588 answers)said 95%, right 96% (671 answers)
Automation at 95%45%of decisions, acting at confidence ≥ 0.89 (right 96.1%)shared gate ≥ 0.96: acts on 12%, right 99.4%
Speed1.6 smedian · p95 3.9 s
Stability3.0%of answers change on an identical rerun · 8.7% change when options are reordered
Valid output100.0%0.0% refused · 1,500 of 1,500 answered
Setupjevals-llm 0383a0e3e592 · verbalized probabilities via OpenRouter · Google AI Studio · reasoning low (mandatory) · temperature provider default · 300 items × 5 runs · 2026-09-18 · served as google/gemini-3.8-flashbanking77 run log
score
Accuracy42.4%95% range 36.9–47.5%
Calibration gap22.6 ptslower is better · 0.1% of answers at confidence 1.00
10said 44%, right 33% (106 answers)said 53%, right 24% (579 answers)said 64%, right 39% (269 answers)said 71%, right 60% (153 answers)said 84%, right 70% (252 answers)said 93%, right 63% (141 answers)
Automation at 95%—never reaches 95% accuracy
Speed1.9 smedian · p95 4.0 s
Stability11.7%of answers change on an identical rerun
Valid output100.0%0.0% refused · 1,500 of 1,500 answered
Setupjevals-llm 0383a0e3e592 · verbalized probabilities via OpenRouter · Google AI Studio · reasoning low (mandatory) · temperature provider default · 300 items × 5 runs · 2026-09-18 · served as google/gemini-3.8-flashhelpsteer2 run log
Model id
google/gemini-3.8-flash
Served as
google/gemini-3.8-flash
Adapter
jevals-llm 0383a0e3e592 · the prompt
Host
OpenRouter · Google AI Studio
Price as of
2026-09-18
Harness
4da1b6d6bc57
Release
2026-09-18

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